Repository file
Capture — 50 per cent
evidence/2012/fifty-per-cent/source.md
From Can’t Explain Raw capture
Capture — 50 per cent
- Claim filed: “Coral cover in the Great Barrier Reef has declined by 50 per cent in just 27 years.”
- Who: CSIRO (citing De’ath et al. 2012)
- URL: https://www.csiro.au/en/research/natural-environment/oceans/ereefs-management-system
- Date on page: eReefs project from 2012; sentence still live 2026-08-14
- Publisher: CSIRO
- Title: Ensuring a vital future for the Great Barrier Reef
- Captured: 2026-08-14
- Method: saved HTML (
csiro-50.html)
Verbatim (CSIRO)
Coral cover in the Great Barrier Reef has declined by 50 per cent in just 27 years.
Footnote 1 is De’ath G, Fabricius KE, Sweatman H, Puotinen M (2012), The 27-year decline of coral cover on the Great Barrier Reef and its causes, PNAS.
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1208909109
The same paper’s second sentence
De’ath et al. attribute that 1985–2012 loss:
- tropical cyclones ~48%
- crown-of-thorns starfish ~42%
- bleaching ~10%
The other meter
Senate inquiry (Ridd) — see evidence/2024/greatest-threat/senate-ridd.html
Ridd: cyclones primarily responsible; some society papers skipped the 2011–2016 recovery after Yasi.
aims-2022.html — northern 36%, central 33%, regional highs in the 36-year record.
aims-2026.html — northern 35.1%, still above the 27% long-term average.
What this file does not do
It does not file “no coral died.” It files the 50 without the storms against a later record high in the same government series.