Repository file

Capture — the greatest threat

evidence/2024/greatest-threat/source.md

From Can’t Explain Raw capture

Capture — the greatest threat

  • Claim filed: “Climate change remains the greatest threat to the Great Barrier Reef.”
  • Who: Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority
  • URL: https://www2.gbrmpa.gov.au/learn/reef-health/reef-health-updates
  • Date on page: stock line on updates including August 2026
  • Publisher: GBRMPA
  • Title: Reef health updates
  • Captured: 2026-08-14
  • Method: saved HTML (gbrmpa-health.html)

Verbatim (Reef Authority, repeated)

Climate change remains the greatest threat to the Great Barrier Reef and addressing it requires urgent global action alongside strong local and regional management to build Reef resilience.

The sentence is pasted under multiple updates, including after AIMS’s 2025–26 recovery note.

The other meter — what the cover series named

De’ath et al. 2012 (the 50% paper): cyclones 48%, COTS 42%, bleaching 10% of the 1985–2012 loss.

aims-2025.html — 2024–25: “the mass coral bleaching event was the primary source of coral mortality” that summer, with cyclones, flooding and COTS also listed. Record high cover immediately before.

aims-2026.html — Cyclone Koji (cat 1, Central, Jan 2026) and Cyclone Narelle (cat 5, Northern, Mar 2026) named in the recovery year.

Senate — senate-ridd.html
https://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/Senate/Rural_and_Regional_Affairs_and_Transport/GreatBarrierReef/Report/section?id=committees%2Freportsen%2F024386%2F73345

Dr Ridd identified major cyclone events being primarily responsible for coral decline.

cyclone events, which are far more destructive to the Reef than agricultural practices.

What this file does not do

It does not file “the sea did not warm” or “2024 did not bleach.” It files “greatest” as a ranking that does not move with the named causes in the same agencies’ reports.